Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000746 0.000852 0.000964 0.001091 0.001231 0.001380 0.001550
2025-03-30 0.000579 0.000725 0.000891 0.001091 0.001325 0.001588 0.001905
2025-04-06 0.000482 0.000645 0.000837 0.001080 0.001375 0.001719 0.002145
2025-04-13 0.000405 0.000575 0.000785 0.001060 0.001406 0.001820 0.002349
2025-04-20 0.000364 0.000543 0.000773 0.001084 0.001485 0.001977 0.002620
2025-04-27 0.000327 0.000512 0.000757 0.001099 0.001551 0.002117 0.002870
2025-05-04 0.000286 0.000471 0.000724 0.001087 0.001578 0.002206 0.003056
2025-05-11 0.000249 0.000430 0.000688 0.001066 0.001591 0.002275 0.003215
2025-05-18 0.000228 0.000411 0.000678 0.001080 0.001649 0.002402 0.003452
2025-05-25 0.000206 0.000388 0.000662 0.001083 0.001690 0.002507 0.003661
2025-06-01 0.000178 0.000352 0.000623 0.001050 0.001679 0.002539 0.003772
2025-06-08 0.000154 0.000320 0.000588 0.001020 0.001668 0.002571 0.003881
2025-06-15 0.000139 0.000302 0.000571 0.001018 0.001699 0.002662 0.004075
2025-06-22 0.000125 0.000285 0.000557 0.001017 0.001732 0.002756 0.004276
2025-06-29 0.000111 0.000266 0.000538 0.001007 0.001750 0.002827 0.004445
2025-07-06 0.000098 0.000246 0.000514 0.000988 0.001752 0.002875 0.004582
2025-07-13 0.000092 0.000240 0.000515 0.001010 0.001818 0.003018 0.004856
2025-07-20 0.000085 0.000232 0.000512 0.001025 0.001872 0.003144 0.005108
2025-07-27 0.000076 0.000217 0.000495 0.001013 0.001884 0.003206 0.005268
2025-08-03 0.000067 0.000201 0.000473 0.000994 0.001882 0.003247 0.005397
2025-08-10 0.000062 0.000195 0.000471 0.001007 0.001933 0.003370 0.005649
2025-08-17 0.000057 0.000187 0.000463 0.001009 0.001967 0.003466 0.005861
2025-08-24 0.000049 0.000170 0.000437 0.000979 0.001942 0.003471 0.005938